Friends, I’m a little spicy in this share. Part luteal-phase, part fed-up, part dead-ass serious about how real this is. Buckle up! 💅
*Note: Out of respect and thanks for my paid subscribers, these types of in depth shares will be for paid-subscribers from this point forward, as well as due to their time and effort.
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TRANSCRIPT: PLEASE NOTE this is a direct transcript from audio and is not edited to be reader-friendly. ⬇️
Hey everybody. It is Saturday morning here in Alberta. It is really freaking cold today. I've got my fireplace on. I am sitting here at my desk looking out the window. We had a lot of fog last night so it's left this hoar frost on just about everything outside so it's actually really beautiful. But I have no intentions of leaving the inside of my home today unless I need to go out with the dogs, throw some wood in the boiler, or go tend to our chickens.
So quiet, cozy snow day here, mixed with a little riff on politics. I shared on my Instagram last night, at I am Sarah Swain, that I would be sharing my thoughts on this whole tariff thing here on my sub stack. So if you have found me over here, thank you for making your way. I'm going to be honest with you.
I have felt almost a sense of total overwhelm from the standpoint of like, where do we even begin? Where do we even begin to attempt to have a conversation with a person who doesn't see things the way that I do? With a person who is afraid of what's happening? With a person who has absolutely no idea Just how large of a play is being made at the global level.
Never mind what's happening here in our own backyard, federally, or even across the border with the USA. For someone who has a lot to say about a lot of things, I have found myself quite speechless over the last couple of weeks. Normally, I don't have a hard time articulating my thoughts, and that's why so many of you tune into my space, I help you break things down, make things understandable, diffuse situations, help you stay grounded and keep hope, or at least a little bit more calm than maybe you were before you heard me kind of hash out my thoughts on something.
I think the reason why this has felt difficult for me to find my words is because of what I'm seeing from the left. And I'm not talking about left politicians. I'm talking about, the everyday person here in Canada that resonates more with the Liberal and NDP parties, and whether or not that's from a place of true information that their beliefs have been derived, or they are someone who has simply gobbled up narratives, largely driven by mainstream media outlets, and as a result they have formed an opinion, not knowing that there's a lot of information that isn't being shared, and it's not being shared for the purpose of being able to control the public.
And if you've been in my space for longer than a week, you probably know where I stand on a lot of things, because I do share my opinions publicly, I have a lot of beliefs and views that don't make it to my airwaves but the ones that feel critical to me Especially ones that I know that I can help people understand from a place of truth as opposed to misleading headlines.
I don't shy away from talking about a lot of things. When I've just taken a step back and kind of bird's eye viewed, how's Canada responding to this threat of tariffs, which by the way, it's February 1st. So this is supposed to be taking place today. To be honest, I haven't even checked my phone to get an update.
Maybe Trump has said, never mind. Or maybe Trudeau has said, sorry for being such a weak partner for you in so many ways. We're going to do what we need to do so that we can come to the table better for America. This is a non issue. Who knows?
The reason why I want to talk about this, to help people understand, like, what are we actually looking at? And I'm not an economist. I'm not. You know, educationally speaking, specifically, because I know that's what so much of society hinges, whether or not they see someone as credible or worth listening to, and I'm not educationally qualified to talk about this stuff, but I am a smart woman.
And I've lived in Canada my entire life, and I have followed politics much more closely than the average person has almost for my entire life. I grew up in a household where we just talked about politics a lot. It was never a taboo subject for my family. I guess there was just more room for those conversations you know, opportunities to understand things a little bit more in my household than the average person may have grown up with. I'm also a business owner. I'm also a consumer. I'm someone who goes out and spends money. I am someone who is mindful about where my money goes. Have been for a very long time now, and so I, there's a lot of things that really do qualify me to have the opinions that I do, and so I wanna get into a few things.
I want to, wrap up my point about what I'm seeing about leftists and I don't mean this as a derogative term. I'm simply using the term leftist. To paint my, observations that is coming from a particular group of people. This particular group of people have been actively against people like me for years.
So this is not just something where all of a sudden there's a threat from America and we're all going to be impacted by this and all of a sudden there's two sides that are just realizing for the first time that there's significant change. Disagreements and a significant lack of information flowing between these two parties.
So that's what I mean when I refer to leftists the thing that has made me go whoa and Contributed to some feelings of defeat if I'm being totally honest is this cry of solidarity for Canada and this insinuation that those of us who do not see the situation the way that they do are traitors of Canada.
Those of you that have been in my space for a while now, you'll understand why you're hearing this kind of sigh come out of my body, because myself and people like me have Utterly exhausted ourselves to the point of damage in our lives in a variety of different ways
because we have been crying in solidarity for Canada for a Very long time now and to see the other side all of a sudden rise up because it is suddenly socially virtuous to do so - and to see these claims made with such bold righteousness that they are who is on Team Canada and the rest of us are not is astonishing to witness. It's obnoxious. It's infuriating
And it's frustrating, because as we have been saying for years now, we're not just fighting for us, we're fighting for all Canadians. It's never been just around, oh, we want to put a stop to the incredibly nefarious things that are happening within our country and above the heads of our country and those who run our country far above the heads.
We want to put a stop to these things because it's in the best interest of all Canadians, mainstream media and leftist politicians continue to say, which is usually leveraging the open wounds and pained hearts of people for the purpose of advancing their power. People like me have seen through it and we have seen through the playbook for so long now That you have it feel like we finally have the other side actually caring about this country as much as we have been clamouring for, fighting for, clawing for…I have to laugh because it's like living in a house of mirrors. You go out in society, you don't necessarily see it as blatantly, definitely not where I reside in rural Alberta. You can see much more of the social programming when you get into more densely populated areas, especially downtown cores, business fronts, like you can start to see where, a lot of this has really seeped in.
But it's much more obvious when you hit up social media. I've got an account on X. I don't really use it to create any of my own content. If I see something I resonate with, I might retweet it. Have we renamed that since it's X now? Is it still a retweet?
I don't know. I appreciate the X platform now because there is truly open discourse I stayed far away from it for many years for the protection of my peace. It was quite a scary place. Now what I appreciate about X is that my feed, you know, I follow people that I particularly either like their commentary or I'm interested by them.
Not necessarily mean that I agree with them, but I'm interested in what they have to say or their angle on something. But what I like about X is that I don't have an echo chamber the way that I do on meta. And so I'm able to actually see way more outside of the little bubbles that we all have around us on platforms like Instagram and Facebook to be like, what are people seeing?
It's been so obvious to people like us for so long now that it does feel like you're going crazy. A lot of the time, because you're like, how on earth, when it feels so obvious to us, is it still just going right over the heads of so many people? And so I get into these threads and I look at the comment section and I'm wrapping my head around like, what do they actually see?
What do they think? What are they feeling? You know, and a lot of it really is the regurgitation of, Media speaking points and headlines, there is a strong theme of this is what the TV said. There's that. We're going back to my point around what's been frustrating me about what the left has, has been saying, specifically about the tariff situation, is precisely the point that they're on Team Canada and It's not just frustrating from a point of like, are you kidding me right now after we have been dragged Through the mud we have been criticized.
We have been ridiculed. We have been ostracized. We have been canceled We have lost our jobs. We have lost family. We have lost friends We lost our ability to even fly anywhere in the country. We lost our ability to Leave the country. We were quite literally Imprisoned here in Canada.
I'm speaking specifically about unvaccinated Canadians regarding COVID 19. There's a broader group of us where the vaccination status does not matter. It's a matter of seeing what's happening versus not seeing it. So it's like there's a frustration of like, are you kidding me?
And then there's the frustration that we can't come together on something as simple as our love for this country. Because our love for this country is happening on different terms. For the newest round of Canadian patriots who are touting Team Canada,
their love for this country is now driven by politics and not truth. So yeah, I'm frustrated. Because a lot of the dialogue over there is so putrid. I'm not ignorant. I know that there's a lot of putrid dialogue on our side too. And I just, I'll get back to the whole freedom community thing here in a second.
Um, cause that, that's an issue too. And I, I understand. But the, the loudest voices are usually the ones that get the most attention right? And that's true for both sides. When I see people. Screaming from the rooftops that we have to save Canada. I'm like, you have no idea what we actually need saving from right now.
Tariffs will absolutely impact us. This is a big deal, guys. I don't think people understand the magnitude of this at all. And I'm gonna get into that in a minute. I buy things and I sell things and I pay taxes.
And I have a brain that allows me to understand things and look up information and learn. So yeah, I will be talking about what I think the impact tariffs are going to have here on Canada, and what our politicians are likely going to do over the course of the next six to 18 months.
We're not able to. Use the fact that those of us that have been fighting for Canada for reasons that the other side has absolutely no concept of or level of understanding for it's like we love our country and It won't bring us together.
This is exactly why I've been like, oh man, I don't even know I'm sorry to Start this on such a low vibe, but just being real with you guys. This has been painful To watch and so many of you have messaged me on Instagram Expressing your anger about what you're hearing people say And you're like, are you serious right now?
Like, as if you have all just completely failed to see us and hear us over the last several years. A lot of us speaking of issues that are way more terrifying than 25 percent tariffs coming in. I do have some notes here, because I didn't know if this was going to be a long one. I have a feeling it's going to be, so you might want to take a bathroom break now that we're at the 20 minute mark.
Go refill your beverage, take your dog out, check on your kids. Maybe your kids are listening.
I've got tea here with me. I do have notes, because I know that I can, those of you that follow me, you understand, I could go off on tangents. I really just allow myself to be guided in my dialogue.
So many of you have said, you're like, you do that thing that Trump does where you weave, you start on one thing, you talk about 17 other things, and then you somehow tie it all together at the end in a way that makes sense. So if you're new to my space, a little bit of a roller coaster ride, but I will always do my best to come around and land the original points.
So I have a couple things here that I want to make sure I do touch on. Let's talk specifically about tariffs for a second. And I also want to encourage you to do your research, do your own learning, look up your own information.
I know that so many of you come here because I can articulate things in a way that helps you I've said this a number of times in recent shares. Do not accept what I am saying as your truth until you have done your own research and formed your own opinion. You may end up agreeing with me at the end, but at least you can say that you used your critical thinking skills to arrive there, instead of just saying, Oh, it's because I heard this on someone's substack.
We're no better than the other side that just regurgitates mainstream media talking points if all we're doing is, you know. listening to a podcast or say something on their show and then all of a sudden we adopt it as a belief. So please use this as a call reminder to just do better in that area. And I'm talking about things even as simple as just looking up what a tariff is.
So much panic online around people not knowing what a tariff is. Has anyone just asked the internet? What's a tariff? Has anyone looked up the definition of tariff in The dictionary so that at least we have a baseline understanding of what this threat actually is other than this word. And if you've never had any type of discussions or education or interest in trade of any kind, then the word tariff might actually be a new word for you.
So again, basic stuff. Look this stuff up. I am going to share with you what these things are. And we're just going to go to dictionary. com, tariff. Noun. A tax or duty to be paid on a particular class of imports or exports. Okay, so it's a tax, simply put. So what does that mean that we're going to get taxed 25%?
I mean, in Canada, we're kind of used to it, right? If you're born and raised in Canada and have normalized the asinine amount of taxes that we pay here, man, do I even want to go into that right now? Our taxation system here is not right. It's criminal, in my opinion. To take so much money from the people that work so hard to contribute to society and then have what feels like absolutely no say in how our government actually uses all that money whether that's through income taxes or consumer taxes or taxes on taxes Every transaction that occurs in our life is taxed in some way or another.
I've seen estimates as high as 60 percent of our income is actually taken in taxes. That's income tax and then all the other taxes that we then pay just to transact in society. So it's wild what we pay here. Just talk to an American. And then, our stupid response is always, Oh, but our healthcare is free.
I don't think it is. Not when we pay this much in taxes, certainly not when our healthcare system isn't actually acting in the best interest of what is right and good and true for our health. PS guys, pray for RFK. I know that it's a different country, but those are the biggest governing bodies of health that influence so much of what we do here in Canada and what we tolerate.
Look at during the, you know, quote unquote pandemic, the CDC says the FDA says. I heard more about the CDC and the FDA as a Canadian than I did about Health Canada between 2020 and 2022. We're kidding ourselves in Canada if we don't think that, the influence of someone like Bobby Kennedy will trickle down.
Trickle up, I guess, to us here in Canada. But you know, the stupid comeback of, Oh, well, yeah, we pay high tax, but we have free healthcare. So screw you Americans.
Ask people who were gaslit by their doctors when they were injured by the COVID 19 vaccine, how much they appreciate our healthcare system, how much they trust it. Ask people who died in the ICU, notice that people only died in ICUs from COVID. That's not a point that's talked about very much.
Ask people how much faith they have when in our, in our health care here in Canada, and in the professionals who work within it that followed orders and memorandums. If they were actually courageous enough to question it did actually take a stand to say, wait a minute, something's not adding up here.
Well, our healthcare system terminated them for acting in the best interest of their patients. So don't talk to me about how grateful we should be for our healthcare system. And it's okay that we pay more taxes. It's bullshit. Our taxes up here are nuts. Let's just put it that way. So, at this rate, what's another 25%?
You know, if we look at it from a silver lining, we've become resilient, haven't we? To figure out how to exist in Canada without, having to file for bankruptcy. So many people are on the brink of right now in this country. Because of taxation and just horrific economic policies.
So a tariff is a tax, guys. Now, let's talk about Trump for a second.
Trump, has been quite open about a couple of things.
Regarding tariffs specifically. Tariffs, are a pathway for the government to follow in order to reduce Income tax trumps thought process here, which I absolutely agree with understanding that there's definitely nuances with this. There's, there's relations, all the things, trade tensions, all these things play a role, but I understand the notion, especially as a tax to death Canadian myself, who had to build tax shelters for my company so that I'd stop being eaten alive every year at tax time.
Anyway, I understand why Trump, especially with his staunch America first views, would say why make you guys pay the government when you're Americans, you're hardworking, when I could just be taxing other nations for the privilege of being able to do business with us.
I can get behind that. Now, diplomacy definitely plays a role here when you're going to make a move like that. Diplomacy is not something that Trump has. Trump is blunt force. He's literally the definition of fuck around and find out.
Does that become problematic when he takes a stance like that for his own countrymen yeah, absolutely. This is exactly what we're seeing here in Canada. Now, Trump's public dialogue around why tariff Canada when there's literally All the other countries in the world that they could be tariffing to varying degrees and there are tariffs on things There's trade agreements between all nations All of these things are already a thing to varying different levels across varying different sectors across varying different Agreements between varying different nations.
So tariffs is not a new thing. It's just all of a sudden Canada's like wait what? I thought we were besties.
According to America, we haven't really lived up to the standard that a bestie should.
Canada has gone unchecked for years now. In this particular government that we've been under for nine years, coming up ten. We have had an absolutely out of control system of power here growing Increasingly more concerning over the last five years specifically Canada Has always just been, oh, it's just Canada.
Sweet little Canada. Polite little Canada. Everybody be nice to Canada. They're so nice over there. Canada, they're so peaceful. Meanwhile, we've absolutely sucked across some very critical issues. The biggest one, the most glaring one, is border control. We didn't need Trump.
To get into power in America, for us to be like, maybe we should do something about our border, are you kidding me?
The border has been a consistent issue for Canada, never mind a consistent issue for America, with just the tsunami of drugs and illegal firearms and human trafficking.
We don't even have a border. I know we have CBSA, but give me a break. What's the actual investment? In our border outside of our ports of entry, it's a glaring issue every time there is a shooting, especially a larger scale shooting, which the liberals will always be like, see, guns are dangerous. It's like, no, see, we need to bolster our borders because these are not law abiding, responsible gun owners that are committing these crimes. But the liberals see it as a wedge issue because there's so much public ignorance around firearms and border control that they know they can get public buy in to pass stricter and stricter gun legislation.
There's only one reason why a government would want to disarm their nation and it has absolutely nothing to do with reducing gun crime. We've had guns and gangs and drugs and all sorts of trafficking.
Think about the sheer size of our border. I've driven, the farthest cross country drive I've done is from Alberta to New Brunswick. I've done Alberta to Ontario a couple of times as well. If you've never driven across Canada and you've only ever flown, you have no concept of the size of this nation.
A lot of Canadians don't actually visit places in Canada. They go to the airport near a city, get on a plane and leave the country. I know there's a lot of people who have really explored Canada, but generally speaking, a lot of Canadians don't leave their own province, and so there's a real ignorance around the size of space we're talking about.
So we have these ports of entry between Canada and the U. S. What's happening in between those ports? Down in the Cootes Sweetgrass border, I don't even think it was barbed wire. I think it was a stringed fence, it's astonishing
how little we have done to, to not only protect stuff coming into our country, people coming into our country, but to actually work with America to make sure that we're, we're being an active participant. In supporting the security of the border to protect them as well. We have absolutely failed at that.
That's just the southern border. Let's talk about the Arctic.
When I look at things from Trump's point of view, I'm like, No shit, this is what he's asking. Like, duh.
He's clearly wanting to ensure security for his own nation. And we are a problem for him to be able to do that. That shouldn't be a partisan opinion. That's a fact.
The border needs to be secured for the protection of Canadians, first and foremost, and then to be a good neighbor and bestie to America, we have to be honest about the giant, gaping hole in our border that is known as the Arctic, and how we have next to nothing. Up there, protecting anything coming in from the north. Then we talk about the sheer volume of water that surrounds the east and the west coasts. And our good ol Canadian Coast Guard, Canadian Navy, is supposed to, to manage all that. What type of investment is being made at our ports, our seaports, Halifax, vancouver, you think about the sheer volume of cargo, cargo ships, sea cans, coming in and out of those ports, unfathomable levels of importing and exporting. What's the staff like on the ground? The ones that haven't been compromised, haven't been bought by cartels or gangs. It's embarrassing.
So, yeah, Trump rightful ask, saying I'm gonna tariff your ass until you get serious about putting proper measures in place to secure your borders. Fair point. He wants the illegal immigration to stop. He wants the gang activity to stop. He wants the drug activity to stop. Again, lacking diplomacy.
Why are we shocked? Trump is as successful as he is. Because of who he is and how he is. It might seem shocking. The delivery might leave your jaw on the floor sometimes.
But he's not hiding it. The other thing that he's wanting is a better financial offset from subsidies due to, trade deficits. 25 percent tariff is what has been brought to the negotiating table, which doesn't feel like a negotiating table right now, but that's the starting point our government has to work with.
The tariffs are designed to alleviate the burden of income taxes for the American people. It is very much a show of force to Canada to get in line with certain policies. and terms that America would like to see, and if we don't, then that's the price we pay. So where does that leave us?
It leaves us with the likes of Melanie Jolie, negotiating on behalf of Canada, after there was so much attention on the American election, I wish we had an electoral system like America. I'm going to divert quickly to prove my point about Melanie Jolie, so you understand where this weave is going.
In America their election process is totally different than ours. When you go to the polls as an American, you are voting for a president. You are voting for a House representative.
You're voting for a senator. And sometimes based on the state or the municipality or county that you're in, there may be other electoral things that are up for nomination as well. Sometimes a governor will pop up on there. It, it, it depends, but you, and in federal election, you will always see, this is who I want for my president, this is who I want for my, House of Representatives, this is who I want for my senator.
And then what you're seeing now with these congressional hearings in America, with Tulsi Gabbard and RFK and Cash Patel and Pete Sef it's like, well, where did they come from? Well, in Canada we have what's called the cabinet, and when we go to the polls here in Canada, we don't vote for a Prime Minister, we vote for our mp.
A lot of people don't know this and it shocks me every day when I talk about this on my feed. It's not to take a dig, but it is the reality of public ignorance here in Canada. We do not vote for a Prime Minister here in Canada. We vote for an MP to represent us as constituents in the House of Commons.
Prime Minister becomes the Prime Minister if their party that they are the leader of gets the most amount of MPs elected. That's how we form government here. So we don't vote for a Prime Minister here, and we don't vote for a Senate here. We just vote for the America's equivalent of a House representative.
That's all we get to choose up here. Based on the MPs that were elected per riding, Across the country, the PM then says, okay, you, you, you, and you are now my cabinet ministers. And that's how Melanie Jolie got her job as foreign affairs minister.
Whereas in America, these people that have these key critical positions are nominated by the president and then have to be passed by Congress, which is the Senate and the House in the White House.
Can you imagine, any of you right now listening to this could enter into politics. You could throw your bid in to run in your writing and be accepted as a qualified candidate for the party that you choose to ride. You could have absolutely no experience other than a deep love to represent your people in Ottawa.
And then bam, all of a sudden you're the foreign affairs minister. So that's who we have right now, guys. Managing the most critical trade negotiations we have ever seen, with the most powerful country in the world, who we share the largest border with, while our government is prorogued. This is a joke.
This is a damn joke. And I'm embarrassed.
I don't know how else to say it. I am embarrassed to be Canadian right now. And to admit that is a heaviness on my heart that I can't even describe.
I know a lot of you listening will understand exactly how I'm feeling right now, will draw conclusions to suggest that I am a traitor. Because I'm not condemning what Trump is doing. I won't because I agree with him. Do I agree in his approach? No, do I understand why he's doing it? Absolutely. Do I understand why he's not giving someone like Justin Trudeau the time of day? Absolutely.
We're a laughingstock. The media won't show that though. The media is not unbiased. The media, especially the CBC, their survival hinges on the liberals staying in power. So you can't tell me for a hot second that it's not in their best interest to paint a picture. That they need the public to believe.
So what's going to happen if these tariffs actually do kick in? The last I checked, Trump was deciding on the amount of tariffs that would be applied to oil and gas. People don't understand how bad this is for Canada. I think there's the people out there who are saying, Team Canada, we need to support Canadian, and everyone else is a horrible person, they can think what they want to think. I know who I am. I know where I have stood on a plethora of issues for years and years now, and have remained unwavering.
I'm entirely unconcerned whether or not a group of my fellow Canadians think that I'm actually against Canada, think what you want to think.
What I'm seeing out there though, is mass ignorance to the grave magnitude of what we are about to experience here over the course of the next year. Should we absolutely fail as a government to mend the relations with America and to come to a trade agreement? that is mutually beneficial and respectful to both nations.
It is unbelievable that the media is carrying a narrative based on alleged economists that we will not see a recession as a result of 25 percent tariffs.
If the media is putting someone up on the screen as an expert in something, run the other way. That's designed to shape public opinion and to have a level of public control.
Someone messaged me the other day when I said, Oh, yeah, I'm gonna have to talk about tariffs. She messaged me, she's like, Oh, I'm not worried about them. I said, You know what, to be honest, my husband and I personally are not worried about them either. The level of impact that will be felt in our household.
We. As individuals are not worried. I am deathly worried for Canadians. Canadians who are blindly following the government, blindly following the media, Canadians who have opened their eyes to a lot of very concerning things over the last few years, and have done nothing to bolster Their independence, their financial diversity, the depth of their community and connections their ability to trust themselves above all else, their ability to deepen their faith, whatever that means to them.
That's who I'm worried about in a big way. I'm worried about business owners. I'm worried about the millions of Canadians across this country that have no idea just how much their jobs. We'll be on the line here in the coming months. Again, should we not see any type of counter negotiations against a 25 percent tariff?
And so I told this woman, I said, I'm not worried about us, but I'm worried about a lot of people. I'm worried about Canadians. Let me see if I can pull up my response to her.
This is where I do want to help you understand what is it realistically that we are looking at, which in my opinion, is why they are bringing economists on to say, no, we won't see a recession. It's to prevent mass panic. I'm not saying this to scare you.
I'm saying it because you deserve a realistic view. You need to examine your life. You need to get honest with yourself around how much you continue to be dependent on things outside of either yourself or the community that you have built around yourself.
That could be financial, skills, self sufficiency, relationships, health, like there's just so much. People who got into a state of fight or flight, especially when you wake up, understand what I'm saying.
When you wake up, your system gets rocked. You either go into fight or flight, freeze or fawn, our central nervous systems are not designed to have that amount of reality shift right before our eyes. The amount of work we've had to put into ourselves in order to strengthen, grow our resilience, grow our courage, grow our trust, mend relationships. Create new relationships, work on new relationships. It's just so deep, guys. And still, my point in saying all this, five years, there's still so many people who are in no different of a position than they were in 2020. Terrified and enraged. Our terror and our rage comes from a place of I don't actually trust that I can help myself through this.
If it gets really bad, I don't know how I'm going to get through it. If it gets really bad, I don't know how I'm going to survive. That's where, we've been given this once in a lifetime opportunity to take a real hard look in the mirror and say, what areas of my life do I not trust myself in?
What areas of my life have I outsourced my wisdom so that there's all this external guidance coming into me and I default to that instead of using my own brain.
This is who I worry about.
My response was it's the domino effect people don't understand .
When we think about 25 percent taxes, where is that going to hit first? It's going to hit manufacturing. It's going to hit our exports. It's going to hit our production, our GDP. So what happens when our production takes a hit?
Production goes down. What happens when production goes down?
There's less money being made. What happens when there's less money being made? You're probably going to start to see layoffs. This is just the first point of entry here of where the tariffs are going to hit us.
The domino effect, the snowball effect, I should say, if we have to live with 25 percent tariffs for the span of 12 months, if this doesn't get resolved, because our government's incompetent,
the job loss, just think about anything along these lines, whether it's tariffs or some other colossal event that obliterates the workforce.
Layoffs start to happen, right? Job cuts.
What happens when there's less people with less jobs available and less money to spend as a result of not having a job and not being able to find a new job? Naturally, they have less money to spend, so what ends up happening? Consumer behaviour is directly impacted. We gotta save money, we can't go out and spend. What happens? What's the effect of that? Well, businesses aren't receiving as much money because the disposable income is decreasing.
People's ability to spend is decreasing.
So what happens to the businesses? Their sales start to drop. What happens when a business's sales start to drop? Layoffs, more people unemployed. Now just imagine this on a community by community basis.
What happens when Jobs are lost and they can't get new jobs. And this domino effect is happening now in the marketplace because people don't have money to spend. So now the businesses are falling like dominoes. What happens to their ability to pay for their home?
Mortgages start to default.
What happens when mortgages start to default on mass, especially in concentrated areas? Market saturation. Houses are going up for sale to offload. When a market saturated with homes, what happens to the value of the home? Becomes a buyer's market. The sellers no longer have leverage because there's homes for sale everywhere, which means what in order for them to sell their home, they have to lower the price.
Guess what we've been in the real estate market for years now, especially in populated areas, bubbles. You can't tell me it is normal to pay what people are paying for homes in cities like Montreal Toronto and Vancouver.
Some of these people have bought, a three bedroom home with barely a yard or a fence or a garage for 1. 5 million dollars just to be close to Toronto. And their mortgage might be 1. 3 million.
Now we have a saturated housing market, and they got to sell the house because they lost their jobs. The housing market is crashing because of the saturation, and the highest anybody will pay for that house is 800, 000, but their mortgage principal is 1. 2 million.
This is a big deal. We'll see businesses close, housing market crash. But don't worry guys, we probably won't see that here because why? Because the government has declared that they are prepared to be there for Canadians with relief that rivals that of the pandemic. Guess what that means? The government is going to come to the table, make sure Canadians get the money from the government to offset the financial damages that they may be facing as a result of these incoming tariffs.
Thank you so much, government. Thank you so much, Mr. Prime Minister. What would we do without you?
We are already in an unrecoverable, level of debt as a nation. I see the look on Poilievre's face. He's defeated. It's like he knows. He can't say it, but his soul knows. You can see it in his eyes right now.
I think 2020 was the highest spending year we've ever had in Canada on behalf of the government. Because the government says, don't worry, we're there for you. Shit ton of money. Everyone's like, oh, yay, government, thank you, thank you. And he says, oh, we're gonna run a snap election right now. Oh, thank you, Mr. Trudeau. We need you right now because times are so hard.
And we trust that you're going to be able to guide us through this as a nation. Thank you for the billions of dollars. Let's call an election. We're so dumb.
From an inflation standpoint, from an interest rate standpoint, like what's the Bank of Canada going to do with the interest rates as a result of this? They will either raise them in order to try and, prevent inflation from getting out of control, or they'll lower them to try and stimulate the market, but it's not good.
And part of me does wonder if the reason why the liberals don't seem overly enthusiastic to come to a reasonable agreement with America is because I think this plays right into their hands.
And I think they see yet another undeniable strategy, to grow and advance their power, create the problem, give them a solution. If we let Trump be the bad guy right now, we have the opportunity to be the hero in the eyes of Canadians again. It's their playbook.
And sadly, even though we have been through such shocking events here over the last several years that have opened up the eyes of millions and millions of us across this country, sadly, based on elections of the past, We've only needed around five million to throw their support behind the Liberals with concentrations enough to be able to win the government. So while there's millions of us that are like, we see what you're doing, Trudeau and Carney and your whole circus of a Liberal Party, we see what you're doing, Singh, and your sickening level of selfishness and corruption. We see what you're doing. There's millions of us.
And yet our electoral system might actually be what keeps these dinguses in power, simply because the playbook still works.
Gotta be safe from big orange man, south of the border, bad man, dangerous man. Don't worry though. We're here for you. We are Team Canada. Flash the smiles. Everybody wears a grey vest. Everything's fine.
Now you might be thinking, Sarah, do you actually think the Liberals are going to win the next election? No. But here's one thing that people might not be considering. What happens if the NDP and the Liberals form a true coalition, and become one party?
That worries me.
If the Liberals stand alone, they knew that by standing alone in the House of Commons, they were pooched without a Supplying Confidence Agreement with the NDP. The only reason the Liberals are still here is because of the NDP. It's not because the Liberals have done a good job. It's because the NDP have protected them from motions for a vote of non confidence in the government, in exchange for things like dental care.
They couldn't survive while they were in power without the NDP. How on earth would they expect to have power ever again without the NDP? I'm not a political strategist. I just think about, well, if I was in this position, what would I need to do? I'd probably have to create a bigger party.
It's just like the Substack that I wrote about a month ago, maybe two months ago now, around the GST tax break chaos. Holy man. Right in that Substack, all I do is just, it's common sense. If I am Poilievre’s political opponent, and we are looking at a landslide defeat right now based on current polling numbers, what do I need to do to fix that?
Well, we're definitely going to need a new leader. That's for damn sure. Cue Trudeau's fake resignation, and the Liberal Party race for leadership. Which we are currently being held hostage for in our country while the liberals sort themselves out and get their new Trudeau 2. 0 in place. That's step one.
Get Trudeau out of the way. Because the hatred that Canadians have for Trudeau, has nearly decimated the party. And in that article, I said, I hope Poilievre’s ready. Because Poilievre’s platform, slogans and all, has been so hinged upon saving the economy. Axing the tax. Axing all the taxes. All these rhymes and things.
And I'm like, dude, you better be ready. Because if I am the political opponent, what am I going to look at my opponent for first and foremost? What makes them strong? How do I weaken that? How do I take their strength away? So in my article, I said, be ready, Poilievre, just in case Carbon Tax Carney comes in and says, Yeah, no, we're not going to do a carbon tax anymore, so you don't have to worry about it.
That was like 70 percent of Poilievre's platform was axing the tax. It's all over the freaking t shirts for God's sake. Now it's gone. It's not a wedge issue anymore. They dulled Poilievre's blade.
Will that be enough for the liberals to solely come back into power? No, I really don't think so because I think so many people have woken up to the truth that you put lipstick on a pig, the pig is still a pig, it doesn't matter what shade of lipstick you put on it. And people have also recognized that Trudeau didn't act alone, he acted with his entire party.
All of these liberal ministers, minus the select few who've found a morsel of courage to start defecting against Trudeau only when their own jobs were finally being threatened by their constituents, showing danger in the polls that they're probably not going to get reelected. That is when they chose to start doing the right things for Canada and say, we’ve got to get a new leader. We’ve got to get him out of here. That was, they're not acting on behalf of their constituents or Canadians. They're acting in the best interest of their career. And I think Canadians see that.
Elections in the past, for sure, swap out another person, razzle dazzle some stuff on the media, Canadians aren't paying attention because they have absolutely no concept of how political, playing fields and, federal policy impacts their day to day lives. They're not paying attention. Be like, oh, I like that guy.
He seems really nice. He said something really powerful. I think I'll vote for him. If people even are going to the polls, which, frick, I think something like 30 or 40 percent of Canadians didn't even vote. In the last election, which was arguably one of the most critical elections we've had here, I do have a lot of hope that Canadians aren't that dumb anymore, aren't that ignorant anymore, because they've seen the repercussions of that ignorance.
They have felt that they've been personally impacted by it.
The policies have hit them directly and all of a sudden they are jolted awake to just how much politics can seep into our homes if we have the wrong person in power. I have a very positive outlook in that regard when it comes to people like, yeah, I don't care if you're Trudeau or Carney or some sort of spiritual leader that you want to put in place and lead the liberal party ain't happening.
You've shown us who you are and we believe you. Thank you. Next.
So Kearney who I believe will get in I don't actually maybe I shouldn't give the Liberals this much credit. I just don't think that the Liberals would be dumb enough to put Christia Freeland in power
Kearney's their guy because he can dull the blade Polievre has been Campaigning to save Canadians from he has a robust Background in finance He and Harper worked side by side to navigate the 2008 recession. He was Governor of Bank of Canada at the time when Harper was PM.
I've seen a lot of clips circulating from former British politicians on their thoughts on Carney they don't have a lot of good things to say about him. He's a big tax guy. Big elite, too. And when I say elite, I don't, I'm not talking about rich people.
I'm talking about corrupt rich people. That, use political power and influence to advance agendas that can't take place through parliamentary procedures. That's who I'm referring to when I talk about the elites. He's one of them. He's a globalist. And I think people see that. Which, again, brings us back to the thing where it's like, Okay, got a new leader in place.
It's probably going to be Carney. And then they're going to have to say, Okay, we're up in the polls a little bit, because we swapped out the lipstick, but people still see us as a pig. What do we have to do? We're going to have to completely reform the party, aren't we? We're going to have to do a total rebrand, aren't we?
They might go through those motions and be like, okay, got a couple more percent ahead in the polls, starting to get some trust back, not nearly enough to win an election though, what do we need to do to keep Polievre out of power?
What do we need to do to prevent ourselves from being exposed for all of the corruption? Especially with so much truth coming out in America right now. I can't imagine the squeamish sleeps some of these people must be having these nights knowing that at any moment Their lies could just completely collapse and cave in on them.
These are some dark, dark people in a lot of these positions of power. What are they going to have to do to protect that? They might just have to ask the NDP to join them.
We've seen it happen here in Alberta. That's where the United Conservative Party came from. Prior to the UCP, we had the Conservative Party, and then we had the Wild Rose Party. So there were two right wing parties. Conservatives were the bigger one. Wild Rose was the smaller one. Similar to on the left side of the spectrum.
Liberals are the bigger one. NDP is the smaller one. In order for the Conservatives to get the NDP out of power in Alberta, they had to rebrand. Get a new leader. And join forces. This is not a far fetched thought process. Because if that's the one thing that they need to do in order to give them a chance at beating Polyev, I don't think they'd walk away from it.
A big factor would be whether or not they're able to put their pride aside. There's a lot of pride in the Liberal Party. I imagine some of you listening right now are probably sinking. Being like, this is not good news, Sarah. I thought I was going to listen to this and feel better about everything. I'm not going to lie to you about this one, guys. This is serious, and I hope that this is a bit of an ass kick too, to wake up. Wake up to what's happening in your own life. Wake up to what's happening in your own backyard. Get real honest with yourself about what needs to be done in your life, in your home, in your community. Because we should never be In a position to be at the mercy of our own government and either their ability to do things or their inability to do things. We should never allow ourselves as individuals and as households to be at their mercy.
But that's the reality right now.
This is why the whole globalist thing just really blows my mind.
I know that what I'm sharing with you right now is probably not easy to hear.
Back to the globalist thing.
Bless our hearts, honestly, for wanting to be one world.
One world full of a bunch of humans. Doing our best, treating each other with kindness and supporting one another during times of need. I admire that thought and I admire those that have such naive hearts to think that that's something that can be achieved with the realities that are before us. Realities meaning the most corrupt government organizations and NGOs, non government organizations that you could possibly fathom. Who use the issues that separate us to advance and gain their power for the purpose of becoming a globalist world. Not one that is connected through community and open borders and acceptance and respect. No, one that is controlled by a totalitarian government system. When we zoom back in from the macro for a second. Bring that same concept into our personal lives. How good of a person are you to your spouse, to your children, to your parents, to your colleagues, to your boss, to your employees, to your friends, when you weren't taken care of?
Just. Reflect on that. How is everybody else impacted in your life when you are not taken care of and when you are not properly resourced? It's not good, is it?
Maybe if you're an extreme people pleaser, all those people in your life are actually pretty good, but you are absolutely bursting at the seams because you can't stretch yourself anymore to please everybody and to be everything to everyone. You've completely depleted yourself and your resources as a result.
That is what is happening at the national level. This is why globalism doesn't work. We're trying to go from the out in. We're trying to go from the top down. In this effort to be this new world order, where millions and billions of dollars leave the people of our country, To go fix and be of service to everybody else out there, meanwhile, look at the state of our cities right now, look at the state of our economy, look at the state of our health, look at our jobs, look at our relationships, we're a mess here, but don't worry, we're going to give millions of dollars to this country and that country and a couple billion dollars to this country and that country.
It's the same thing that happens when we neglect ourselves, how everybody else personally connected to us, they take, take, take, we give, give, give, and then we're just completely, spent. We got nothing left. That's what's happening on a national level right now.
For the people out there who truly do have this beautiful, yet naive, heartfelt view of we can just be one world. We can't be one world until we are each all okay. And we can't be okay when our government is depleting us.
There's so many issues.
It's incredibly difficult to talk about this stuff.
To the average person. The people who have absolutely no concept of what's happening at a much higher level and what all of this is encroaching us towards.
It's so hard to just talk about one singular issue that has been made to be such a divisive thing without talking about how that's just one tentacle of this massive kraken that has tentacles in everything and it connects back up to this one beast. And then when you try and explain it to someone, you sound crazy.
What? I get it. And I know that's why so many people are like, I don't even know how to engage in this conversation because everything is connected in our brains, we see it, but then to try and communicate that back to the average person, they're looking at us like, are you okay? You seem to be in some of those conservative echo chambers, eh?
You should probably diversify your social circle. And then all of a sudden. We're being spoken down to, or screamed at, usually it's the latter.
I think that's been a huge factor for me. It's like, can I even just talk about tariffs and the domino effect economically speaking? If this doesn't change, if we see 25 percent tariffs for 12 months straight with no positive negotiations or outcomes.
We are in for a ride here in Canada. No two ways about it.
So guys, as always, what does it come down to? It comes down to what is within our control. So, good for all of you who have long since been supporting Canadian businesses and supporting local wherever possible. Long before it was the cool thing to do with Team Canada.
Before you started seeing businesses put up their virtue signalling saying we're going to buy from Canada, now it's a virtue signalling thing to support Canadian businesses. We're like, are you kidding me? We've been trying to save Canadian businesses since 2020, when the government shut them all down.
Everyone said, how dare you question the government? They're trying to keep us safe. You white nationalist. Like, what? The narrative wasn't, the media wasn't saying, support Canadian businesses right now. The media was talking about, we have to do the right thing.
Therefore the right thing was to shut businesses down, or at least slow their businesses enough to completely cripple them, because it was the right thing to do. That's how we saved Grandma. Everyone says, yes, right thing to do. And then all of a sudden, blah, blah, blah. We hear the same parroted response over and over again.
The government destroyed small business in Canada. And I believe it was intentional to create more dependents. There was no Team Canada in 2020. The Team Canada that showed up were the truckers and the millions of us that either rode with them went to Ottawa supported on social media or cried quietly in our homes.
Because no one else understood us except those people that were showing up that was Team Canada.
So if you have been Doing your best to support your small businesses to support local, which is the most important thing, we’ve got to take care of our communities.
Challenge your obsession with convenience.
Challenge the concept of quality over quantity. Do you need as many things that are mass produced in other nations under God only knows what type of conditions? Or can you get by with less things? And when you do buy those things, they're of higher quality, made in Canada, made locally, if possible, depending on what it is and what's available around you.
Take care of your homes. Take care of your marriages. Take care of your families. Take care of your businesses, your streams of income. Diversifying your income, guys. If that's one thing I've been screaming consistently for five years now, it is to create your own economy.
These are the things that we have power over. Can I influence what Trudeau or Melanie Jolie Do or don't do. Can I influence what Carney does or doesn't do? Likely not. They have their agendas. They're locked and loaded with their playbooks. There's not a lot I can do about that. So, for me to spend my time enraged about how we are quite literally held hostage by this government right now, it doesn't actually serve me.
It doesn't change anything. What it does do is piss me off just enough to make my life even better. And to help as many people as I can do the same.
What do I think is going to happen? I get asked this all the time. What do I think is going to happen with the election? I told you what I think they're going to do as far as what their strategy is going to be. There's lots of talk on the internet right now around, oh my god, they're gonna get into parliament.
They're going to get a leader. They're going to open parliament. Jagmeet Singh is going to support them to pass another budget of God knows how many billions or trillions of dollars on top of our already trillion dollars in debt and 62 billion deficit on our budget last year, I'm going to print a bunch more money to save everybody from the orange man. And then it really does all come down to whether or not Jagmeet Singh holds up his end of the bargain which is dismantle the government in March. Once he votes with them to support the passing of the budget to help provide relief for Canadians.
There's a lot of buzz on socials right now. I've been sent similar reels hundreds of times around the fear of them calling an emergency? Are they going to call an economic emergency? Are they going to postpone the election until 2026? Because yes, that is true. They do not have to call an election this year.
If they survive a non confidence vote, if Jagmeet Singh and the NDP protect the Liberals in the next non confident vote, they can actually continue to be in government until 2026, fall of 2026. They have five years. Traditionally, the election is called every four, but they have five if they want it.
In an emergency though, Parliament is still active and votes of non confidence can still be called. It all comes down to Jagmeet Singh.
This guy is single handedly the most powerful person in Canada right now. So it comes down to whether or not he keeps his word. On toppling the government in a non confidence vote in solidarity with the Conservatives and the Bloc. The Bloc has come out saying they are not participating in any more Liberal antics.
They are voting to topple the government at their earliest convenience, along with the Conservatives. The number of MPs between the Bloc and the Conservatives is not more than the number of MPs between the NDP and the Liberals and the couple of Independents and Green MPs. So the Conservatives and the Bloc alone are not enough.
That's why they need Jagmeet Singh and the NDP party to swing over to them so that they have more MPs voting, not confident in the current government so that Parliament is Closed and an election is called.
I wish I could say I know what Jagmeet Singh's gonna do. I don't trust him Nobody trusts him.
Will they try and use this economic crisis with the tariff situation as a means to create an emergency?
And invoke the Emergency Measures Act. I don't know. They could do anything. They're crazy. That's my non diplomatic point of view. They're crazy. They're completely rogue. They're completely self-serving. I cannot make an accurate prediction. My gut tells me though, that even with A positive spin on the new leader and all the PR chaos that will ensue to elevate this person just like they did with Kamala in America. Taking the worst rated vice president in American history. Imagine having that title. And then turning her into an overnight sensation through the media.
By way of PR campaigns, and I made a post on this from a business perspective to be like, you wanna understand the power of authenticity, you need to study Trump. If you wanna understand the power of pr, you need to study Kamala. And that was not a partisan post. If you wanna get better at public relations study, what?
The Biden Harris or the Harris, what's the guy's name? So irrelevant in my brain as the name's already out of my head. Her VP pick. If you want to understand the power of public relations as an entrepreneur, study the hell out of what they did with Kamala. Because it worked. Didn't work enough, but it worked.
And if you want to understand the power of just being so fiercely authentic, that you literally risk it all in the name of your personal truth, and you want to know how to use that to win, then study Donald Trump. It's not a partisan opinion, that's an entrepreneurial observation. So if they can do that with Kamala,
they'll try and do it with our mainstream media outlets to sensationalize Carney or whoever ends up taking the party leadership position. The media, the morsels of it that I consumed during Trudeau's fake resignation, seemed quite understanding of the fact that public support has been lost in a significant way.
It would feel like such a stretch for even the media to try and continue on with this circus without mass pandemonium from the public.
Silver lining, as I always say, every frickin moment that has passed with these corrupt media. Left governments who are not at all who they claim to be in the public eye. With every moment that, that goes by that they are in power, somebody wakes up. And so if I can offer you anything to ease your, Oh my God, what if they are in power?
Even if it's until the fall? God, we gotta put up with them until the fall? Everyone got super excited about an idea of having an election in the spring? What if we have to wait till next fall? We've managed this long. And with every moment that goes by, that these corrupt people are in power, more people wake up.
With every move they make, with every crazy policy they pass, with every lie the mainstream media is caught in, with every scandal they're caught in, More people wake up.
So even in a worst case scenario, if we do end up having to stick it through with these guys for a lot longer than we wanted to, in my opinion, it works out to our benefit in the long term. The only concern is, this again would be an extreme circumstance, but it is possible. Anything's possible with these people.
It is possible that if Carney is the leader, that he could be positioned as the hero that helps us through not just one, but two recessions.
Could that swing public perception of the Liberals, given enough time? If all of a sudden their lives become better as a result of Carney policies to help Canada survive Trump tariffs? Maybe.
Comes down to the public though and whether or not we've learned our lesson. So my friends Believe it or not. There's a whole lot more. I Could have shared today, but I'm gonna leave it there. This has been long enough Just remember you are way more capable than you're giving yourselves credit for you are probably giving way too much power to the government Right now you are probably allowing the government to take up way too much space in your precious minds You are probably allowing the state of Canada and how you feel about what's happening Take up way too much of your precious time and I'm not I'm not free of being guilty of these things myself The important thing is we bounce back we bounce back faster every time and we take action.
We do things differently. We produce a different result for our self. That is something we always have power and control over no matter what happens. We have that personal autonomy of what we give our thoughts to the choices that we make and the actions that we take in our lives. So if you're sitting there wallowing around in your home consumed by this chaos, and you're not doing anything to enact positive change then You're letting them win.
Don't give that to them. They've already taken enough. I'd love to hear your thoughts in the comments. If you've made it this far, thank you. You're amazing. Truly. I appreciate it. Let me know your thoughts in the comments. If you have different predictions than I have, I'd love to hear them.
None of us have a crystal ball we just have our thoughts observations and hopefully our critical thinking skills that we are constantly exercising and not outsourcing to other people's thoughts and opinions.
It's going to get worse before it gets better. The more we can realize that's likely how the cards are going to fall. in the near future before we can see better times, the less of a blow it is every time something bad happens. Alright that's it. I'll see you next time.
This was so well written, thank u for this!!
I just finished listening to your Substack, well done. As I believe I’ve stated before I think one of your gifts is in educating others on issues and encouraging people to think. Keep that up! Unfortunately, I don’t actually believe Canadians are in their homes wrestling with these issues. I see that one after another after another of the hard issues that have confronted Canadians in the past 5 years is exhausting them into freeze states. Not all of course but I believe the majority, unfortunately. Only a portion are wanting to know more, feel they can take on more, doing their research or speaking out. The chamber is growing and it’s voices like yours that are educating people to allow for partial expansion but, as you say, ultimately it’s very much in the control of the people in realizing what they can control. Keep on keeping on and I know you know how to regenerate your own energy even when you wonder, is it worth it. It is. Great job xo